8/6/2023 0 Comments Checkmate nyc![]() ![]() That's despite all states recording similarly high first-dose vaccination rates by the end of 2021.īut if NSW is indeed experiencing a sizable decline in births, there are plenty of reasons to consider other than vaccines.Īccording to Professor McDonald, a "new trend" in global fertility rates began from around 2016, which has seen rates in many countries falling below replacement levels.Īustralia's fertility rate was also trending down well before COVID-19 vaccines arrived, with that trend expected to continue until the early 2030s. Notwithstanding these caveats, annual data published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) shows that the number of births registered in NSW was only 0.8 per cent lower in 2022 than in 2019, the year before the pandemic.īy contrast, Queensland and South Australia recorded increases of 1.7 and 2.4 per cent while Western Australia saw a drop of 5.9 per cent. Professor McDonald, meanwhile, said processing lags meant the number of births registered by hospitals or registrars was "not a reliable estimate" of births, with monthly and quarterly data more prone to errors. "While they are useful as an indication of trends, they really need to be treated with caution."Ī long-term downward trend in births which predates the pandemic has been seen in many Western countries. "There is great variability in births over short time periods, and these data only account for births in public hospitals," Professor Gray said. Notably, both experts said the available data was incomplete and subject to change, meaning more information was needed before conclusions could be drawn about what, if anything, was happening in NSW. ![]() Peter McDonald, a professor of demography at the University of Melbourne, told CheckMate that even if a specific event had led to a fall in births, there was "no direct evidence" to say it was the result of vaccines. "hen the vaccine started to become available and lockdowns stopped there was an increase in births," she said. "Dramatic drop off in births in NSW and globally, since a certain not-so-safe, effective or necessary vaccine was forced upon the elderly, pregnant mums and even children," wrote one Twitter user.Īnd United Australia Party national director Craig Kelly tweeted: "The birth data for NSW has finally been released and tragically as expected the number of babies born has plunged as the vaccine was rolled out."Įdith Gray, a professor of demography at the Australian National University, told CheckMate that rather than COVID-19 jabs being the cause of falling births, "the opposite is likely". ( ABC News: Chris Gillette)Ī story published in the Sydney Morning Herald detailing a fall in births recorded by NSW public hospitals has been seized upon as evidence that COVID-19 vaccines are to blame.Īs the article explains, the number of these hospital births peaked at roughly 19,100 in the June 2021 quarter before steadily falling to reach 15,700 in the March 2023 quarter, their lowest ebb since 2010. The United Australia Party's Craig Kelly has again sought to link vaccines to widespread adverse health outcomes. ![]()
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